Granted: you have to wait all spring, summer, and into fall to get paid. Granted: he only "releases" two winners. But if like money, and don't like to "gamble"... then I suggest you pay attention. Here goes...
PS: You can follow him on Twitter at @justcallmemrx.
Gentlemen:
13 years on Czabe show, and 77% clip. I feel a bit like Brandon Lang, and I don’t know how to stop this madness! Oh, the pressure to win. I can’t raise the % without a perfect year, but it can always go south.
I have a good story about an “early year” of this, that might be better than just baseball talk J (in 2001, when I “released” my top play at end of our Calcutta), this guy grabbed a phone and called in $5k AGAINST me. Right in my face – in front of all. Then he said, in the immortal words of Vito Corleone, “it’s not personal, it’s business”. He said, “nobody can keep winning every year” (and I had taken the same Oakland A’s OVER that was my #1 the year before. He assumed I was being a “fan” and not a handicapper. I was no fan. They went over the 88 so easy – and won 102. It was the “moneyball” movie year – but when I watched the movie, they somehow left me out of it.
2013
General observation: Never seen such “bunching” of numbers. Usually the top teams are around 94-95, but this year there’s a cluster around 89-90. It’s tempting to take the 2 best teams OVER, since somebody always flirts with 100, and it ought to be Detroit and Washington. But I won’t. There’s no room there for an easy win. I do like them as best teams though.
General rule 2: if most of your plays are OVERS, then you are probably a fan and not a good handicapper. EVERYONE is optimistic and if things “break right” you go over. All the teams that go “under” have injuries and “off years”. DUH. I only like a couple teams OVER, I usually go UNDER or “pass”.
Two best plays:
1. Cleveland over 77. They quietly got much better. Their division sucks with only 1 decent team (Det). CWS is way overrated and performed well above expectations last year. They will be under .500. KC is getting the annual “over” hype, but they just never get there. The Twins may contest the Astros for worst record. Cleveland should be an over and the other’s weaknesses make it a top play. I see them getting to 85 and even battling for the extra WC slot.
2. Toronto UNDER 90. Yep, when odds first came out, the Jays and Nats were “co-fav” to win the WS. They made the most moves in offseason and that draws attention. But, every time I look at their 25 man roster, I see a .500 team – so I’m against the grain here. They need excellent years from their strong SP to do better than that. They won’t ALL do it. The division is stronger than most think, and 3 or 4 teams can go OVER, but it won’t be the Jays.
You probably should stop there. Take the 2-0 and call it a year.
Yeah, I know most can’t. So here’s some snicky’s:
1. The ONLY teams “over” are Mets, Cubs and TB. If you are playing any other teams OVER, you don’t have Mr X’s blessing. Sure many teams will go over – but playing any other teams Over,…..you may win, but well, it’s ALMOST like GAMBLING. J
2. Next best play (#3) is White Sox under 81. Although whatever I’d put in on CWS under, it makes sense to roll it onto Clev over. CWS won’t get to .500
3. Lean to unders on ATL (87.5) and STL (87).
4. Finally – every computer model picks Hou OVER 59.5. I don’t. I think they lose 110 and that means closer to 50. I think missing in most projections is that they are in AL and not only overmatched, but nearly every day they face a “new pitcher”. It is possible that they will be an “underdog” in about 150 games this year. Not sure I’ve seen that before.
Division winners – with value
1. Only dog with value is TB at about 5 or 6 to 1.
2. Others are mostly chalk this year, Tigers, Nats and Reds are solid and Angels and Dodgers likely to win. A’s, Red Sox, Giants are best long shots, but while could come close, won’t get there.
Det and Na "Mr. X" Releases His Pre-Season MLB Winners: A Glimpse into Baseball's Anticipated Season As the crack of the bat resonates across baseball stadiums, the excitement of a new MLB season dawns upon fans and players alike. Amidst the anticipation, one mysterious figure has emerged with a bold proclamation: "Mr. X" has released his pre-season MLB winners, capturing the attention of baseball enthusiasts around the globe. In this article, we delve into the intrigue surrounding "Mr. X" and his pre-season predictions, offering insights into the world of sports forecasting and the fervor of the upcoming MLB season. Unveiling "Mr. X" "Mr. X" remains an enigmatic figure, a pseudonym that has generated both curiosity and intrigue. Known for his astute analysis and predictions in the realm of sports, "Mr. X" has garnered a following of fans who eagerly await his insights, especially as a new MLB season commences. The mystique surrounding his identity adds an element of excitement to his pre-season winners' announcement. The Art of Sports Forecasting Sports forecasting is a blend of analytics, statistical analysis, and intuition. "Mr. X" and other experts in the field use a wide range of data points, including player statistics, team performance, historical trends, and even intangible factors such as player dynamics and coaching strategies. This meticulous analysis allows them to make informed predictions about the outcomes of games and seasons. Pre-Season MLB Winners: The Significance Pre-season MLB predictions offer a glimpse into the potential narrative of the upcoming season. While no prediction is infallible, these insights ignite conversations among fans, sparking debates about which teams are poised for success and which players might emerge as breakout stars. They also serve as a source of excitement, fueling the anticipation as fans eagerly follow the progression of the season to see how well the predictions align with reality. Factors Influencing Pre-Season Predictions Several factors come into play when formulating pre-season predictions: Player Performance: The performance of individual players, both in terms of batting and pitching, plays a significant role in team success. Statistical analysis of player history and potential improvements can inform predictions. Team Dynamics: The synergy among team members, the effectiveness of coaching strategies, and the overall team atmosphere contribute to success. Predictors often consider how well teams work together and adapt to challenges. Injuries and Health: Injuries can significantly impact a team's performance. Predictors assess injury histories, injury-prone players, and potential impact on game outcomes. Historical Trends: Examining trends from previous seasons, including team records, performance against specific opponents, and late-season surges, helps create a context for predictions. Off-Season Moves: Trades, free-agent signings, and draft selections influence team dynamics. Experts evaluate how these moves will impact team strength. Rookies and Breakout Players: The emergence of rookies and players making significant improvements can alter a team's trajectory. Identifying potential breakout stars is a crucial aspect of predictions. FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions) 1. How accurate are pre-season predictions? Pre-season predictions are educated guesses based on available data and analysis. While they can provide insights, the unpredictability of sports means that outcomes can deviate from predictions. 2. Is "Mr. X" the only sports predictor? No, there are numerous experts and analysts who provide sports predictions. "Mr. X" stands out due to his pseudonymous identity and the intrigue surrounding his predictions. 3. Can pre-season predictions impact betting and fantasy sports? Yes, pre-season predictions can influence betting lines and strategies in sports betting. They also influence fantasy sports drafts, as participants seek to select players who are projected to have strong performances. 4. What role does luck play in sports predictions? Luck is an inherent part of sports, and even the most accurate predictions can be impacted by unexpected events. A fortunate bounce or an unexpected injury can drastically alter outcomes. 5. How do predictions evolve during the season? As the season progresses, predictions can be refined based on actual results and new information. Experts continually adjust their assessments to account for real-time performance. Conclusion "Mr. X" and his pre-season MLB winners offer a tantalizing glimpse into the unfolding drama of the upcoming baseball season. As fans eagerly await the crack of the bat and the roar of the crowd, these predictions provide a lens through which to view the potential outcomes and narratives that will shape the course of the season. The art of sports forecasting continues to captivate sports enthusiasts, blending data analysis, historical context, and a touch of intuition in a quest to anticipate the unfolding drama of the game we love. ts in WS.
Strasburg and Verlander in game 7, sounds like a collision course to me....
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